Bryce Doty, Senior Portfolio Manager at Sit Investment Associates, says that “the worst is over as far as yields going up,” noting that the next shift could be down, but he calls the conditions “tricky” and emphasizes that investors “need to be in the right part of the curve.” Doty’s case hinges on oil prices; if oil stays below $110, it’s viewed as inflationary, but above that level “we have a problem, and so does the rest of the world.” At that point, central banks will have to cut rates to “save economies from disaster.” Doty, whose team manages $2.7 billion in closed-end fund-of-funds for separate accounts, likes two-year TIPS, municipal bonds and high-yield corporate bonds. He also discusses the IPO market, closed-end rights offerings and the quality of private credit investments.
Sit’s Doty says rates will rise, peak and shift downward by year’s end
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